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Home Artificial Intelligence

Information Science Meets Politics. Unraveling Congressional Dynamics With… | by Luiz Venosa | Sep, 2024

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September 28, 2024
in Artificial Intelligence
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Initially, we want information.

I downloaded information on all of the legal guidelines voted on and the way every member of Congress voted from 2023 to 2024 as much as Might 18th. All the information is offered on the Brazilian Congress’s open information portal. I then created two completely different pandas dataframes, one with all of the legal guidelines voted on and one other with how every congress member voted in every vote.

votacoes = pd.concat([pd.read_csv('votacoes-2023.csv', header=0, sep=';'),  pd.read_csv('votacoes-2024.csv', header=0, sep=';')])
votacoes_votos_dep = pd.concat([pd.read_csv('votacoesVotos-2023.csv', sep=';', quoting=1) , pd.read_csv('votacoesVotos-2024.csv', sep=';', on_bad_lines='warn', quoting=1, encoding='utf-8')])

To the votacoes dataframe, I chosen solely the entries with idOrgao of 180, which implies they had been voted in the principle chamber of Congress. So, we now have the information for the votes of most congress members. Then I used this the checklist of the votacoes_Ids to filter the votacoes_votos_dep dataframe.

plen = votacoes[votacoes['idOrgao'] == 180]
votacoes_ids = plen['id'].distinctive()
votacoes_votos_dep = votacoes_votos_dep[votacoes_votos_dep['idVotacao'].isin(votacoes_ids)]

Now, within the votacoes_votos_dep, every vote is a row with the congress member’s identify and the voting session ID to establish who and what the vote refers to. Subsequently, I created a pivot desk so that every row represents a congress member and every column refers to a vote, encoding Sure as 1 and No as 0 and dropping any vote the place greater than 280 deputies didn’t vote.

votacoes_votos_dep['voto_numerico'] = votacoes_votos_dep['voto'].map({'Sim': 1, 'Não':0})
votes_pivot = votacoes_votos_dep.pivot_table(index='deputado_nome', columns='idVotacao', values='voto_numerico').dropna(axis=1, thresh=280)

Earlier than computing the similarity matrix, I crammed all remaining NAs with 0.5 in order to not intervene with the positioning of the congress member. Lastly, we compute the similarity between the vectors of every deputy utilizing cosine similarity and retailer it in a dataframe.

from sklearn.metrics.pairwise import cosine_similarity
similarity_matrix = cosine_similarity(votes_pivot)
similarity_df = pd.DataFrame(similarity_matrix, index=votes_pivot.index, columns=votes_pivot.index)
Similarity Matrix – Picture By the Creator

Now, use the details about the voting similarities between congressmen to construct a community utilizing Networkx. A node will symbolize every member.

import networkx as nx

names = similarity_df.columns
# Create the graph as earlier than
G = nx.Graph()
for i, identify in enumerate(names):
G.add_node(identify)

Then, the perimeters connecting two nodes symbolize a similarity of at the very least 75% of the 2 congressmen’s voting habits. Additionally, to deal with the truth that some congress members have dozens of friends with excessive levels of similarity, I solely chosen the primary 25 congressmen with the very best similarity to be given an edge.

threshold = 0.75
for i in vary(len(similarity_matrix)):
for j in vary(i + 1, len(similarity_matrix)):
if similarity_matrix[i][j] > threshold:
# G.add_edge(names[i], names[j], weight=similarity_matrix[i][j])
counter[names[i]].append((names[j], similarity_matrix[i][j]))
for supply, goal in counter.objects():
selected_targets = sorted(goal, key=lambda x: x[1], reverse=True)[:26]
for goal, weight in selected_targets:
G.add_edge(supply, goal, weight=weight)

To visualise the community, you should determine the place of every node within the aircraft. I made a decision to make use of the spring structure, which makes use of the perimeters as springs holding nodes shut whereas attempting to separate. Including a seed permits for reproducibility since it’s a random course of.

pos = nx.spring_layout(G, ok=0.1,  iterations=50, seed=29)

Lastly, we plot the community utilizing a Go determine and individually add the perimeters and nodes based mostly on their place.


# Create Edges
edge_x = []
edge_y = []
for edge in G.edges():
x0, y0 = pos[edge[0]]
x1, y1 = pos[edge[1]]
edge_x.prolong([x0, x1, None])
edge_y.prolong([y0, y1, None])

# Add edges as a scatter plot
edge_trace = go.Scatter(x=edge_x, y=edge_y, line=dict(width=0.5, colour='#888'), hoverinfo='none', mode='strains')
# Create Nodes
node_x = []
node_y = []
for node in G.nodes():
x, y = pos[node]
node_x.append(x)
node_y.append(y)

# Add nodes as a scatter plot
node_trace = go.Scatter(x=node_x, y=node_y, mode='markers+textual content', hoverinfo='textual content', marker=dict(showscale=True, colorscale='YlGnBu', measurement=10, colour=[], line_width=2))

# Add textual content to the nodes
node_trace.textual content = checklist(G.nodes())

# Create a determine
fig = go.Determine(information=[edge_trace, node_trace],
structure=go.Structure(showlegend=False, hovermode='closest', margin=dict(b=0,l=0,r=0,t=0), xaxis=dict(showgrid=False, zeroline=False, showticklabels=False), yaxis=dict(showgrid=False, zeroline=False, showticklabels=False)))

fig.present()

End result:

Picture by the Creator

Nicely, it’s a great begin. Totally different clusters of congressmen might be seen, which means that it precisely captures the political alignment and alliances in Congress. However it’s a mess, and it’s inconceivable to essentially discern what’s happening.

To enhance the visualization, I made the identify seem solely while you hover over the node. Additionally, I coloured the nodes in accordance with the political events and coalitions obtainable on Congress’s web site and sized them based mostly on what number of edges they’re linked to.

Picture by the Creator

It’s lots higher. We have now three clusters, with some nodes between them and some greater ones in every. Additionally, in every cluster, there’s a majority of a specific colour. Nicely, let’s dissect it.

Tags: CongressionalDataDynamicsLuizMeetsPoliticsScienceSepUnravelingVenosa

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